BJP prime minister-elect Narendra Modi already indicated a
model shift in India's foreign policy as he invited SAARC leaders including
Pakistan Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif to attend his swearing-in ceremony in New
Delhi on 26 May. The move came as a surprise and got due gratitude from
politicians in Jammu and Kashmir and specialists in foreign affairs. "Modi
wants to signal that India wants to improve bonds with its neighboring
countries.” The victory is expected to improve trade ties between New Delhi
& Washington and could eventually lift U.S. exports in industries ranging
from pharmaceutical products to heavy infrastructure, U.S. officials and
business leaders say.
For investors?
One has to look at the Indian stock markets to see what
investors think of the results of India’s national election, which appear to
show a landslide victory for opposition leader Narendra Modi. At the opening on
Friday, the standard Sensex index was up more than 4.5%, the strongest opening
for the Indian markets in five years. India has often been impeded by policy
paralysis caused by unstable alliances, this would help the new government to
act more decisively.
Can India’s economy take on China?
The chances of India getting back on its feet look much
brighter, the country's biggest election win in 30 years, and that raises
India's growth potential to as high as 8 percent per annum, economist say.
"The resounding victory by the BJP-led alliance in Indian elections likely
ushers in a period of significant economic reform in India. Reforms are likely
to focus on improving the business environment, privatization reducing the
budget deficit and support for inflation targeting," Shane Oliver, head of
investment strategy and chief economist at AMP Capital in Sydney, said in a note.
Revive India’s Economic Miracle?
Modi will take over an economy badly in need of change.
Growth in the last fiscal year is expected to clock in under 5% — well below
the 8%-9% pace enjoyed only a few years ago.
The World Bank ranks India a miserable 134th out of 189
countries on its ease of doing business index, which measures the difficulties
faced starting a company, dealing with construction permits and other factors
behind competitors like China or Indonesia. Without a boost to investment, the
economy will continue to stumble. That means Modi will have to strip out red
tape and streamline bureaucratic procedures to make it less burdensome for
companies to invest and create jobs.
0 comments :
Post a Comment